Sport Picks
Newton Stewart vs Troon FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Lowland League 
Match Events
1'
1'
Allan L.
Assist: Craig R.
11'
11'
Drysdale R.
30'
30'
Allan J.
Assist: Baird N.
AI Match Summary
Troon FC in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troon FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Troon FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Troon FC lately — more wins on the board than Newton Stewart.
- Troon FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newton Stewart | Troon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 13 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.64 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Lowland League
Newton Stewart vs Troon FC
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newton Stewart Compare
Top Goalscorer Drysdale R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Troon FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Allan L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Allan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newton Stewart 10 / 100
Troon FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newton Stewart Troon FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Troon FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Troon FC conceded in 92% of 13 recent games.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Troon FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Newton Stewart scored in 59% of their last 22 games.
Scoring Trends
Newton Stewart VS Troon FC
1 Goals Scored 2.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Newton Stewart
(Home) 03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0 Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0 Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1 Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
08 Aug
Newton Stewart
2 : 2 Pollok
01 Aug
Newton Stewart
0 : 9 Auchinleck Talbot
Page 1 of 2
Troon FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3 Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4 Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0 Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
Page 1 of 3
03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3 Troon FC
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0 Troon FC
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
22 Aug
Beith
1 : 3 Troon FC
08 Aug
Clydebank FC
3 : 2 Troon FC
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Broxburn Athletic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Hill Of Beath | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Boness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11:27 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:21 | 19 |
| 7 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20:23 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25:33 | 10 |
| 13 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Renfrew | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:29 | 7 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:37 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:35 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
