Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newtown vs Guilsfield

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Williams A.
34' Event
Astley J. W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Newtown and Guilsfield finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Newtown
30%
Draws
19%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newtown come out ahead of Guilsfield on wins alone.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Newtown Clean Sheet 15%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newtown Guilsfield
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Guilsfield
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Guilsfield
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru North
Guilsfield vs Newtown
2:1
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Newtown vs Guilsfield
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 League Cup
Newtown vs Guilsfield
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newtown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newtown 84 / 100
Guilsfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newtown Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guilsfield let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Newtown has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newtown scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Newtown VS Guilsfield
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newtown

(Home)
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
15 Aug
Newtown
1 : 1
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6

Guilsfield

(Away)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)