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Ngozi City vs Green Farmers

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ngozi City in this Primus League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ngozi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ngozi City
6%
Draws
4%
Green Farmers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ngozi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Green Farmers haven't matched Ngozi City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ngozi City a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 17%
Green Farmers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Green Farmers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Green Farmers
4:2
Sep 13, 2025 Primus League
Green Farmers vs Ngozi City
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 84 / 100
Green Farmers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Green Farmers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NGO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Green Farmers conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Green Farmers lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ngozi City scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Green Farmers
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847