Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ngozi City vs Muzinga

Burundi Burundi

Coupe du President
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ngozi City
15%
Draws
49%
Muzinga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muzinga lately — more wins on the board than Ngozi City.
  • Win probability leans Ngozi City's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Muzinga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ngozi City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 16%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Muzinga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Coupe du President
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
4:0
Apr 15, 2026 Coupe du President
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0
Jan 18, 2017 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 36 / 100
Muzinga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Muzinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ngozi City's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Muzinga conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ngozi City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Muzinga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
09 May
Olympic Star
4 : 0
Ngozi City
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Muzinga

(Away)
20 Sept
Musongati
0 : 3
Muzinga
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
23 Aug
Le Messager Ngozi
2 : 1
Muzinga
14 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
08 May
Green Farmers
2 : 4
Muzinga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamik 1
Aigle Noir 2
Kayanza United 0
Vital'O 5
Muzinga 3
Ngozi City 4
Rocky City Nyanza 1
Rukinzo 11
Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 3
Vital'O 2
Ngozi City 0
Rukinzo 1
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Rukinzo 1