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Ngozi City vs Rukinzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Coupe du President
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ngozi City
20%
Draws
29%
Rukinzo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ngozi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rukinzo come out ahead of Ngozi City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rukinzo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Rukinzo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rukinzo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rukinzo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 20%
Rukinzo Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ngozi City Rukinzo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Coupe du President
Rukinzo vs Ngozi City
0:0
May 3, 2026 Coupe du President
Ngozi City vs Rukinzo
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Ngozi City
4:2
Aug 31, 2025 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Rukinzo
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Primus League
Rukinzo vs Ngozi City
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ngozi City 28 / 100
Rukinzo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ngozi City Rukinzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rukinzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ngozi City scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ngozi City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rukinzo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ngozi City VS Rukinzo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ngozi City

(Home)
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
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Rukinzo

(Away)
03 Oct
Rukinzo
7 : 0
Young Star
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
06 Sept
Durban City
1 : 0
Rukinzo
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
19 Aug
Musongati
0 : 0
Rukinzo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamik 1
Aigle Noir 2
Kayanza United 0
Vital'O 5
Muzinga 3
Ngozi City 4
Rocky City Nyanza 1
Rukinzo 11
Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 3
Vital'O 2
Ngozi City 0
Rukinzo 1
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Rukinzo 1