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Nibbiano & Valtidone vs Ciserano-Bergamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
17' Event
48' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Nibbiano & Valtidone and Ciserano-Bergamo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nibbiano & Valtidone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Nibbiano & Valtidone
30%
Draws
23%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nibbiano & Valtidone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nibbiano & Valtidone haven't matched Ciserano-Bergamo's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Nibbiano & Valtidone Clean Sheet 68%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nibbiano & Valtidone Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 0 11
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.33 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nibbiano & Valtidone 41 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nibbiano & Valtidone Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nibbiano & Valtidone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nibbiano & Valtidone's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Ciserano-Bergamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Nibbiano & Valtidone went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ciserano-Bergamo's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nibbiano & Valtidone VS Ciserano-Bergamo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nibbiano & Valtidone

(Home)
04 Oct
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Nibbiano & Valtidone
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
20 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 1
Nibbiano & Valtidone
16 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 1
Scanzorosciate
13 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 2

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)