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Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Nacional de Futbol, Managua
Nicaragua Logo

Nicaragua

1 - 2
FT
Dominican Republic Logo

Dominican Republic

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
de Lucas L.
5'
Pujol E.
46'
Sub
Familia-Castillo J. In: Breton L.
Out: Familia-Castillo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Nicaragua and Dominican Republic finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dominican Republic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nicaragua
15%
Draws
85%
Dominican Republic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dominican Republic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nicaragua Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nicaragua Dominican Republic
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.51 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic
1:2
Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua
3:2
Nov 22, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic
0:0
Sep 8, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua
0:2
Nov 11, 2017 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Breton L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua 10 / 100
Dominican Republic 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nicaragua Dominican Republic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dominican Republic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nicaragua scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Dominican Republic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Dominican Republic has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nicaragua VS Dominican Republic
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nicaragua

(Home)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3
Costa Rica
28 Sept
Curacao
6 : 1
Nicaragua
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
05 Jun
Paraguay
4 : 0
Nicaragua
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Dominican Republic

(Away)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)