Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nicaragua W vs Panama W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nicaragua W play Panama W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nicaragua W averaged 2.53 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Panama W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Nicaragua W won 1, Panama W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 14, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.80 for Nicaragua W and 1.68 for Panama W. This points to a Panama W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nicaragua W
20%
Draws
42%
Panama W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nicaragua W picked up more points recently compared to Panama W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.80 vs 1.68 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Nicaragua W Clean Sheet 13%
Panama W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nicaragua W Panama W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.53 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 4.60 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Friendly International Women
Nicaragua W vs Panama W
0:0
Jul 12, 2024 Friendly International Women
Nicaragua W vs Panama W
2:0
Jul 4, 2021 Friendly International Women
Panama W vs Nicaragua W
2:0
Aug 27, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women
Panama W vs Nicaragua W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nicaragua W Compare

Top Goalscorer Humphreys Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.54
Avg xA / game 2.3

Panama W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nicaragua W 37 / 100
Panama W 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nicaragua W Panama W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Panama W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nicaragua W attacking → ← attacking Panama W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nicaragua W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Panama W let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nicaragua W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Panama W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 61
4.60 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.60 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00