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Nice vs Lorient - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Nice Logo

Nice

0 - 0
FT
Lorient Logo

Lorient

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Diallo Z.
60'
Sub
Diallo Z. In: Cho M.
Out: Diallo Z.
69'
Sub
Bernardeau G. In: Faye S.
Out: Bernardeau G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nice and Lorient finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nice
35%
Draws
32%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nice Clean Sheet 19%
Lorient Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Lorient
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
0:0
Mar 4, 2026 Coupe de France
Lorient vs Nice
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
3:3
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Nice
3:1
Apr 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 32 / 100
Lorient 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nice found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Lorient
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

Lorient

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)