Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nice vs Lorient

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nice host Lorient in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Nice at 1.27 goals for, 1.33 against; Lorient at 1.83 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Nice have won 2 to Lorient's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.44, favoring Lorient. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nice
15%
Draws
48%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nice Clean Sheet 16%
Lorient Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Lorient
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Coupe de France
Lorient vs Nice
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
3:3
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Nice
3:1
Apr 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lorient
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Nice
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 30 / 100
Lorient 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nice scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Lorient conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Lorient
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
31 Jul
Juventus
2 : 0
Nice
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
Page 1 of 7

Lorient

(Away)
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1
Lorient
08 Aug
Angers
2 : 1
Lorient
04 Aug
Lorient
5 : 1
UNFP
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auxerre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Le Havre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Le Mans 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Lille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lorient 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Nice 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 PSG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Strasbourg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Angers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Brest 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Troyes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Marseille 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Toulouse 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Lens 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Rennes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Lyon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)