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Nice vs Strasbourg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nice host Strasbourg in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Strasbourg have shipped 1.94 goals a game lately, while Nice have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Nice have won 2 to Strasbourg's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.00) point toward Nice. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nice
30%
Draws
41%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strasbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Strasbourg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nice Clean Sheet 20%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice Strasbourg
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Coupe de France
Strasbourg vs Nice
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Nice
3:1
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Strasbourg
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Nice
2:2
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs Strasbourg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice 32 / 100
Strasbourg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Nice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nice scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Nice VS Strasbourg
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
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Strasbourg

(Away)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)