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Nice W vs Le Mans W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Chapelle K.
51' Event
Chapelle K.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Nice W and Le Mans W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Mans W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nice W
30%
Draws
39%
Le Mans W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Mans W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Le Mans W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Le Mans W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Le Mans W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%
Le Mans W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice W Le Mans W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Le Mans W
0:2
Jan 18, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Nice W
1:0
May 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs Le Mans W
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Nice W
1:0
May 26, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Le Mans W vs Nice W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nice W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Le Mans W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapelle K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice W 26 / 100
Le Mans W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice W Le Mans W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Mans W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nice W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Nice W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Le Mans W conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nice W VS Le Mans W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nice W
1 : 0
Bourges 18 W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
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Le Mans W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Bourges 18 W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
29 Aug
Roubaix W
1 : 0
Le Mans W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)