Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nice W vs St Etienne W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nice W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nice W
35%
Draws
45%
St Etienne W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nice W have won more games recently than St Etienne W.
  • Win probability leans St Etienne W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Nice W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St Etienne W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nice W Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nice W St Etienne W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Nice W vs St Etienne W
4:0
Aug 23, 2024 Club Friendly Women
St Etienne W vs Nice W
4:0
Sep 9, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Nice W vs St Etienne W
1:1
Feb 12, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Nice W
4:0
Sep 25, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Nice W vs St Etienne W
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nice W 10 / 100
St Etienne W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nice W St Etienne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St Etienne W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Nice W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nice W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nice W VS St Etienne W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nice W

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1
Cannes W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Nice W
1 : 2
Lens W
Page 1 of 6

St Etienne W

(Away)
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
22 Aug
St Etienne W
4 : 2
Roubaix W
15 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 3
St Etienne W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)