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Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gryf Wejherowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bzdega T.
39' Event
Trojanowski M.

AI Match Summary

Nielba Wagrowiec host Gryf Wejherowo in the III Liga - Group II 2020/2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Nielba Wagrowiec at 2.38 goals for, 1.88 against; Gryf Wejherowo at 0.88 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Nielba Wagrowiec slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2021, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.38) back Nielba Wagrowiec to edge this. Nielba Wagrowiec in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nielba Wagrowiec
6%
Draws
4%
Gryf Wejherowo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gryf Wejherowo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 17%
Gryf Wejherowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nielba Wagrowiec Gryf Wejherowo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Gryf Wejherowo
2:0
Nov 4, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gryf Wejherowo vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:4
Jul 29, 2009 Polish Cup
Gryf Wejherowo vs Nielba Wagrowiec
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Bzdega T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trojanowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Gryf Wejherowo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nielba Wagrowiec 84 / 100
Gryf Wejherowo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nielba Wagrowiec Gryf Wejherowo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gryf Wejherowo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Nielba Wagrowiec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gryf Wejherowo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nielba Wagrowiec VS Gryf Wejherowo
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%