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Nielba Wagrowiec vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gieraga A.
(Penalty)
69'
Trojanowski M.
73' Event
Lesniewski R.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Nielba Wagrowiec and Kotwica Kolobrzeg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nielba Wagrowiec
11%
Draws
9%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kotwica Kolobrzeg come out ahead of Nielba Wagrowiec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nielba Wagrowiec's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kotwica Kolobrzeg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 20%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nielba Wagrowiec Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1:2
Oct 30, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Nielba Wagrowiec
3:1
Jun 6, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Nielba Wagrowiec
4:1
Mar 14, 2009 Division 2 - West
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniewski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozajda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nielba Wagrowiec 76 / 100
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nielba Wagrowiec Kotwica Kolobrzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kotwica Kolobrzeg conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nielba Wagrowiec

(Home)
25 Jan
Nielba Wagrowiec
0 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
27 Jul
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Nielba Wagrowiec
24 Feb
Nielba Wagrowiec
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
26 Jun
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 3
Nielba Wagrowiec
19 Jun
Nielba Wagrowiec
2 : 4
Pomorzanin Torun
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Kotwica Kolobrzeg

(Away)
24 Sept
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin
25 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
17 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
11 May
Odra Opole
4 : 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
05 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
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