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Nielba Wagrowiec vs KS Mieszko Gniezno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lesniewski R.
14' Event
Bzdega T.
23' Event
Bzdega T.

AI Match Summary

Nielba Wagrowiec in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 8-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nielba Wagrowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nielba Wagrowiec
6%
Draws
4%
KS Mieszko Gniezno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • KS Mieszko Gniezno haven't matched Nielba Wagrowiec's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nielba Wagrowiec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 20%
KS Mieszko Gniezno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nielba Wagrowiec KS Mieszko Gniezno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 2.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
8:1
Aug 8, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Nielba Wagrowiec
0:6
Mar 21, 2020 III Liga - Group II
KS Mieszko Gniezno vs Nielba Wagrowiec
0:0
Aug 15, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs KS Mieszko Gniezno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniewski R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bzdega T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

KS Mieszko Gniezno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nielba Wagrowiec 85 / 100
KS Mieszko Gniezno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nielba Wagrowiec KS Mieszko Gniezno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: KS Mieszko Gniezno conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: KS Mieszko Gniezno registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nielba Wagrowiec VS KS Mieszko Gniezno
2.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%