Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nigde vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Uslu F.

AI Match Summary

Nigde in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nigde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nigde
39%
Draws
30%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nigde lately — more wins on the board than Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nigde Clean Sheet 21%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigde Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Nigde vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Nigde
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Uslu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigde 32 / 100
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigde Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigde found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nigde went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigde VS Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigde

(Home)
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
12 Apr
Nigde
0 : 1
Mazidagi
05 Apr
Kirsehir SK
2 : 4
Nigde
29 Mar
Nigde
0 : 1
12 Bingol Spor
25 Mar
Kirikkale FK
1 : 0
Nigde
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Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

(Away)
18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kilis Bld.
0 : 4
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
05 Apr
Erciyes 38
1 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
29 Mar
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Mazidagi
25 Mar
Kirsehir SK
1 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)