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Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
45' Event
Ibrahim J.
45'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Niger Tornadoes
30%
Draws
33%
Plateau United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Niger Tornadoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plateau United lately — more wins on the board than Niger Tornadoes.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Niger Tornadoes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Niger Tornadoes Clean Sheet 68%
Plateau United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger Tornadoes Plateau United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 NPFL
Plateau United vs Niger Tornadoes
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United
4:0
Feb 9, 2025 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 NPFL
Plateau United vs Niger Tornadoes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niger Tornadoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bashir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Plateau United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger Tornadoes 59 / 100
Plateau United 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger Tornadoes Plateau United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niger Tornadoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plateau United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Niger Tornadoes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Niger Tornadoes scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Niger Tornadoes VS Plateau United
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger Tornadoes

(Home)
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Plateau United
06 Sept
Kano Pillars
3 : 2
Niger Tornadoes
30 Aug
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 1
Enyimba International
24 May
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 0
Shooting
10 May
El Kanemi Warriors
0 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
Page 1 of 6

Plateau United

(Away)
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Plateau United
06 Sept
Plateau United
1 : 0
Kwara
30 Aug
Rivers United
2 : 0
Plateau United
11 Jun
Nasarawa United
2 : 1
Plateau United
06 Jun
Plateau United
2 : 1
Basira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barau 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
2 Rangers International 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Doma United 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
4 Bendel 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Kano Pillars 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
6 Plateau United 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
7 Rivers United 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
8 Kwara 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
9 Shooting 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
10 Ranchers Bees 5 2 0 3 8:8 6
11 Sporting Lagos 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
12 Ikorodu City 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Niger Tornadoes 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Abia Warriors 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Warri Wolves 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
16 Nasarawa United 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
17 Inter Lagos 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
18 Katsina Utd 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
19 Kun Khalifa 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
20 Enyimba International 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)