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Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL 2025/2026 Bako Kontagora Stadium, Minna
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
46'
Sub
Ita P. In: Alli A.
Out: Ita P.
46'
Sub
Egbo O. In: Adebambo A.
Out: Egbo O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Niger Tornadoes
15%
Draws
39%
Warri Wolves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Niger Tornadoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warri Wolves lately — more wins on the board than Niger Tornadoes.
  • Win probability leans Niger Tornadoes's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NPFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Niger Tornadoes Clean Sheet 68%
Warri Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger Tornadoes Warri Wolves
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.89 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Niger Tornadoes
1:1
Jul 3, 2016 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves
2:0
Mar 6, 2016 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Niger Tornadoes
1:0
May 2, 2012 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger Tornadoes 59 / 100
Warri Wolves 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger Tornadoes Warri Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niger Tornadoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Niger Tornadoes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Warri Wolves registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Niger Tornadoes's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Warri Wolves has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Niger Tornadoes VS Warri Wolves
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger Tornadoes

(Home)
19 Sept
Katsina Utd
1 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Plateau United
06 Sept
Kano Pillars
3 : 2
Niger Tornadoes
30 Aug
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 1
Enyimba International
24 May
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 0
Shooting
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Warri Wolves

(Away)
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0
Kwara
16 Sept
Rivers United
2 : 0
Warri Wolves
30 Aug
Bendel
2 : 1
Warri Wolves
01 Jun
Bida Lions
2 : 0
Warri Wolves
24 May
Warri Wolves
2 : 1
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 38 19 11 8 47:27 68
2 Rivers United 38 19 10 9 44:31 67
3 Shooting 38 18 6 14 41:40 60
4 Ikorodu City 38 16 10 12 43:39 58
5 Bendel 38 14 14 10 44:38 56
6 Nasarawa United 38 16 8 14 37:34 56
7 Abia Warriors 38 16 7 15 31:34 55
8 Barau 38 13 13 12 34:30 52
9 Katsina Utd 38 14 10 14 36:39 52
10 Plateau United 38 15 5 18 39:40 50
11 Enyimba International 38 13 10 15 44:42 49
12 Kun Khalifa 38 13 10 15 42:40 49
13 Warri Wolves 38 13 10 15 36:41 49
14 Niger Tornadoes 38 13 9 16 37:36 48
15 Kano Pillars 38 15 6 17 34:39 48
16 Kwara 38 13 11 14 32:36 47
17 Remo Stars 38 14 5 19 42:47 47
18 El Kanemi Warriors 38 13 8 17 27:46 47
19 Bayelsa United 38 11 10 17 37:42 43
20 Wikki Tourists 38 9 13 16 36:48 40
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)