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Niger vs Togo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
32'
37'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Niger and Togo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Togo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Niger
20%
Draws
57%
Togo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Niger's 1 goals per match outpaces what Togo have produced (0.97).
  • Win probability leans Togo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Niger Clean Sheet 21%
Togo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger Togo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Niger vs Togo
0:1
Dec 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Togo
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Togo vs Niger
1:1
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Niger vs Togo
1:2
Sep 3, 2022 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Togo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Karim D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger 20 / 100
Togo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger Togo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Togo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Niger's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Niger stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Niger VS Togo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger

(Home)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Gabon
2 : 0
Niger
25 Sept
Niger
2 : 1
Lesotho
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
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Togo

(Away)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Togo
1 : 0
Burundi
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
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