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Niger vs Zimbabwe

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Pere-Jego, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Takwara G.
69' Event
Adebayor V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Niger
30%
Draws
52%
Zimbabwe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbabwe have won more games recently than Niger.
  • Model gives Zimbabwe a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Niger Clean Sheet 21%
Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger Zimbabwe
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.96 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Niger vs Zimbabwe
1:1
Feb 5, 2011 African Nations Championship
Zimbabwe vs Niger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Zimbabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Takwara G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger 29 / 100
Zimbabwe 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger Zimbabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zimbabwe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbabwe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Niger has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Niger's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Niger VS Zimbabwe
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger

(Home)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
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Zimbabwe

(Away)
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
29 Dec
Zimbabwe
2 : 3
South Africa
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