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Nigeria U23 vs Sudan U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Nigeria U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nigeria U23
35%
Draws
16%
Sudan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigeria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nigeria U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Nigeria U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Nigeria U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U23 Sudan U23
Matches Played 23 14
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.3 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Nigeria U23 vs Sudan U23
5:0
Sep 5, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sudan U23 vs Nigeria U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U23 68 / 100
Sudan U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U23 Sudan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria U23's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Nigeria U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sudan U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U23 VS Sudan U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U23

(Home)
28 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 0
Nigeria U23
22 Mar
Nigeria U23
0 : 0
Guinea U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
15 Nov
Nigeria U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
Page 1 of 5

Sudan U23

(Away)
25 Aug
Iraq U23
1 : 1
Sudan U23
28 Mar
Sudan U23
1 : 2
Niger U23
22 Mar
Niger U23
0 : 0
Sudan U23
18 Mar
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Sudan U23
30 Oct
Benin U23
3 : 1
Sudan U23
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2