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Nigeria W vs Algeria W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Larbi Zaouli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nigeria W play Algeria W in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nigeria W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Algeria W averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Nigeria W won 4, Algeria W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 13, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Nigeria W and 1.13 for Algeria W. This points to a Nigeria W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nigeria W
19%
Draws
35%
Algeria W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Nigeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria W picked up more points recently compared to Algeria W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Nigeria W Clean Sheet 21%
Algeria W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria W Algeria W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.73 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Algeria W
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Nigeria W vs Algeria W
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Nigeria W vs Algeria W
2:0
Sep 3, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W vs Algeria W
1:0
Aug 28, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Algeria W vs Nigeria W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria W 46 / 100
Algeria W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria W Algeria W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nigeria W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nigeria W attacking → ← attacking Algeria W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Algeria W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nigeria W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Algeria W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 53
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Morocco W32107:47
2Zambia W32106:47
3Senegal W31026:43
4D.R. Congo W30032:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nigeria W32104:07
2Algeria W31201:05
3Botswana W31022:33
4Tunisia W30121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1South Africa W32107:17
2Ghana W31115:44
3Mali W31112:54
4Tanzania W30122:61