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Nigeria W vs Gambia W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Nigeria W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nigeria W
15%
Draws
28%
Gambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nigeria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nigeria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nigeria W Clean Sheet 20%
Gambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria W Gambia W
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Gambia W
6:0
Jun 6, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Gambia W vs Nigeria W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria W 85 / 100
Gambia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria W Gambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gambia W conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Nigeria W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Gambia W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria W VS Gambia W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria W

(Home)
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
09 Aug
Cameroon W
1 : 0
Nigeria W
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 7

Gambia W

(Away)
28 Oct
Gambia W
0 : 1
Kenya W
24 Oct
Kenya W
3 : 1
Gambia W
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Gambia W
0 : 6
Senegal W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W 3
Senegal W 2
Libya W 0
Ethiopia W 15
Ivory Coast W 1
Morocco W 1
Sierra Leone W -
Mali W -
Gambia W 4
Burkina Faso W 3
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W 3
Central Africa W 1
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Kenya W 1
Uganda W 0
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Lesotho W 3
Eswatini W 1
TBD -
South Africa W -
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 4
Namibia W 0
Zimbabwe W 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Algeria W 6
Ethiopia W 3
Ivory Coast W 2
Mali W 2
Gambia W 0
Nigeria W 7
Congo W 0
Cameroon W 10
Kenya W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Lesotho W 0
South Africa W 7
Zambia W 2
Zimbabwe W 2
TBD -
TBD -