Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nijmegen vs Duisburg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kruger F.
29' Event
Remmert P.
46'
Sub
Symalla J. In: Jessen N.
Out: Symalla J.

AI Match Summary

Duisburg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duisburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nijmegen
22%
Draws
18%
Duisburg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nijmegen lately — more wins on the board than Duisburg.
  • Win probability leans Nijmegen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%
Duisburg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen Duisburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Nijmegen vs Duisburg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouwejan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kers K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Duisburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruger F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Remmert P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 56 / 100
Duisburg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen Duisburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Duisburg let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Nijmegen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS Duisburg
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
18 Jul
Nijmegen
7 : 0
Al Fayha
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
08 Jul
Nijmegen
2 : 3
Duisburg
01 Jul
De Treffers
1 : 1
Nijmegen
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Duisburg

(Away)
22 Jul
Duisburg
2 : 4
Beerschot VA
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
12 Jul
TOP Oss
0 : 1
Duisburg
08 Jul
Nijmegen
2 : 3
Duisburg
16 May
Duisburg
1 : 1
FC Viktoria Koln
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