Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nijmegen host Excelsior in the Eredivisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Excelsior have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Nijmegen have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.86. Head-to-head, Nijmegen have won 4 to Excelsior's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.63 - 2.32) back Nijmegen to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nijmegen haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nijmegen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nijmegen | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nijmegen scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Excelsior has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Nijmegen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nijmegen
(Home)Excelsior
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | G.A. Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
