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Nijmegen vs Groningen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nijmegen host Groningen in the Eredivisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Nijmegen at 1.76 goals for, 1.76 against; Groningen at 1.71 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Nijmegen have won 3 to Groningen's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 2.19) back Nijmegen to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nijmegen
35%
Draws
35%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nijmegen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen Groningen
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Nijmegen
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Groningen
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Groningen vs Nijmegen
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Nijmegen
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Groningen
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 30 / 100
Groningen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nijmegen scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Nijmegen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Groningen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS Groningen
1 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
22 Oct
Din. Zagreb
2 : 4
Nijmegen
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Sittard
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
10 Oct
Ajax
1 : 1
Nijmegen
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
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Groningen

(Away)
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 31:10 23
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 2 1 20:10 20
3 PSV 9 6 1 2 27:12 19
4 Ajax 9 5 3 1 27:12 18
5 Twente 9 5 2 2 17:10 17
6 Sittard 9 4 3 2 16:17 15
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 22:19 14
8 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
9 G.A. Eagles 9 2 5 2 20:21 11
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
11 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
12 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 15:16 10
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 16:22 9
14 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 13:21 9
15 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Telstar 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
17 Den Haag 9 1 3 5 11:20 6
18 Willem II 9 0 2 7 9:26 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)