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Nijmegen vs V-Varen Nagasaki

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Willumsson W. T.
50' Event
54' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Nijmegen and V-Varen Nagasaki finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nijmegen
6%
Draws
4%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nijmegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nijmegen come out ahead of V-Varen Nagasaki on wins alone.
  • Nijmegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nijmegen V-Varen Nagasaki
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 2
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Nijmegen vs V-Varen Nagasaki
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willumsson W. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nijmegen 85 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nijmegen V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

V-Varen Nagasaki let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nijmegen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nijmegen VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nijmegen

(Home)
18 Jul
Nijmegen
7 : 0
Al Fayha
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 2
Nijmegen
08 Jul
Nijmegen
2 : 3
Duisburg
01 Jul
De Treffers
1 : 1
Nijmegen
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V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Mito
23 May
Kyoto
1 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
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