Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nimes vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 Stade des Antonins, Nîmes
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Belkhechine M.
54' Event
Toure B.
78' Event
Vinci L.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Nimes and Toulon finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nimes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nimes
30%
Draws
30%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nimes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Toulon haven't matched Nimes's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Nimes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nimes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nimes Clean Sheet 68%
Toulon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nimes Toulon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Nimes vs Toulon
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Nimes
0:1
Mar 23, 2007 Ligue 3
Nimes vs Toulon
4:1
Oct 6, 2006 Ligue 3
Toulon vs Nimes
0:1
Mar 4, 2006 Ligue 3
Toulon vs Nimes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennour N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Belkhechine M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinci L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nimes 68 / 100
Toulon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nimes Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nimes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nimes's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Toulon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Nimes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nimes VS Toulon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nimes

(Home)
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0
Troyes II
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1
Nimes
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Canet Roussillon
1 : 3
Nimes
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1
Nimes
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Toulon

(Away)
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 3
Toulon
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
GOAL FC
1 : 1
Toulon
31 Jul
Toulon
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)