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Ninove vs Diegem

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Ninove Logo

Ninove

4 - 3
FT
Diegem Logo

Diegem

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mukandila S.
41' Event
Mputu J.
46' Event
Sula D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ninove in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ninove.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ninove
15%
Draws
49%
Diegem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diegem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Ninove haven't matched Diegem's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ninove taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%
Diegem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ninove Diegem
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.74 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs Ninove
5:0
Dec 6, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Diegem
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ninove Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukandila S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mputu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Sula D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ninove 38 / 100
Diegem 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ninove Diegem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Diegem conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ninove scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Diegem lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ninove VS Diegem
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ninove

(Home)
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Apr
Hoogstraten
3 : 1
Ninove
11 Apr
Ninove
0 : 4
Knokke
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
21 Mar
Ninove
1 : 3
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 7

Diegem

(Away)
30 Jun
Diegem
0 : 7
Royale Union SG
26 Apr
Diegem
2 : 3
Belisia Bilzen
19 Apr
Thes Sport
6 : 3
Diegem
12 Apr
SK Roeselare
2 : 2
Diegem
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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