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Niort vs Chateauroux Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Fri, Aug 9, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Niort host Chateauroux in the Club Friendly 2024. This has Niort written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Niort at 0 goals for, 3 against; Chateauroux at 0.86 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Chateauroux slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.11) point toward Niort. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Niort
25%
Draws
35%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Niort

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chateauroux come out ahead of Niort on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Niort taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Niort Clean Sheet 20%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niort Chateauroux
Matches Played 1 28
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 10
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 0 0.86
Goals Conceded 3 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Niort vs Chateauroux
0:0
Jan 26, 2024 Ligue 3
Niort vs Chateauroux
0:0
Aug 18, 2023 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Niort
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Chateauroux vs Niort
1:1
Feb 5, 2021 Ligue 2
Niort vs Chateauroux
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niort 49 / 100
Chateauroux 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niort Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niort Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Niort found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (1 games).

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Chateauroux lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chateauroux
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Niort

(Home)
16 Nov
Niort
0 : 3
Orleans

Chateauroux

(Away)
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
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