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Nissa vs Gela

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Nissa Logo

Nissa

1 - 0
FT
Gela Logo

Gela

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rapisarda F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nissa in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Nissa
35%
Draws
10%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nissa lately — more wins on the board than Gela.
  • Model gives Nissa a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nissa Clean Sheet 68%
Gela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nissa Gela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Gela
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Nissa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rapisarda F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nissa 95 / 100
Gela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nissa Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nissa scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Gela has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Nissa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nissa VS Gela
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nissa

(Home)
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Nissa
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

Gela

(Away)
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0
Gela
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1
Gela
12 Apr
Gela
0 : 0
Reggina
02 Apr
Nissa
1 : 0
Gela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)