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Nissa vs Locri 1909

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Pipicella A.
78' Event
Agnello F.
90' Event
Diaz A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between Nissa and Locri 1909 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Nissa
35%
Draws
13%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Nissa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nissa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nissa Clean Sheet 20%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nissa Locri 1909
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Locri 1909
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Nissa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnello F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipicella A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nissa 58 / 100
Locri 1909 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nissa Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nissa's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Locri 1909's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nissa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nissa VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
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Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)