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Nissa vs USD Ragusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Palermo M.

AI Match Summary

Nissa in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nissa
35%
Draws
14%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nissa lately — more wins on the board than USD Ragusa.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Nissa Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nissa USD Ragusa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.6 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs USD Ragusa
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Nissa
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Nissa
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs USD Ragusa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Palermo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

USD Ragusa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nissa 95 / 100
USD Ragusa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nissa USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nissa's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nissa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

USD Ragusa let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nissa VS USD Ragusa
2.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nissa

(Home)
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Nissa
3 : 0
Enna
Page 1 of 6

USD Ragusa

(Away)
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)