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Niteroiense vs Uni Souza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cafu
32' Event
Guilherme Silveira
46' Event
Cafu

AI Match Summary

Niteroiense in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niteroiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Niteroiense
30%
Draws
27%
Uni Souza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Niteroiense lately — more wins on the board than Uni Souza.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Niteroiense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Niteroiense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niteroiense Uni Souza
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Carioca B2
Niteroiense vs Uni Souza
4:0
Aug 4, 2024 Carioca C
Niteroiense vs Uni Souza
2:1
Jul 28, 2024 Carioca C
Uni Souza vs Niteroiense
1:1
May 12, 2024 Carioca C
Uni Souza vs Niteroiense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Silveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Uni Souza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niteroiense 59 / 100
Uni Souza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niteroiense Uni Souza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niteroiense scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Niteroiense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Uni Souza conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Niteroiense VS Uni Souza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Niteroiense

(Home)
03 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Sao Cristovao
26 Sept
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2
Niteroiense
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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Uni Souza

(Away)
12 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Uni Souza
07 Jul
Uni Souza
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
30 Jun
Campos AA
3 : 1
Uni Souza
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)