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Niva Dolbizno vs FC Gomel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup City Stadium, Dolbizno
Niva Dolbizno Logo

Niva Dolbizno

Sat, Jul 18, 2026
2 - 3
02:00 PM
FC Gomel Logo

FC Gomel

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Barsukov E.
27' Event
Pampukha P.
33' Event
Pampukha P.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Niva Dolbizno
15%
Draws
46%
FC Gomel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Niva Dolbizno come out ahead of FC Gomel on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Niva Dolbizno taking it.
  • Niva Dolbizno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Gomel, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 16%
FC Gomel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno FC Gomel
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.55 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Niva Dolbizno vs FC Gomel
2:3
Jul 14, 2024 Belarusian Cup
Niva Dolbizno vs FC Gomel
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pampukha P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Barsukov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 57 / 100
FC Gomel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno FC Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niva Dolbizno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niva Dolbizno found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Niva Dolbizno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Gomel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS FC Gomel
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Niva Dolbizno

(Home)
10 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 2
FC Gomel 2
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 7

FC Gomel

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
13 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 1
FC Gomel
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
28 Aug
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -