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Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Dolbizno
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Match Events

43'
Monich I.
45'
Galuza D.
46'
Sub
Monich I. In: Dybin V.
Out: Monich I.

AI Match Summary

Niva Dolbizno in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niva Dolbizno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Niva Dolbizno
30%
Draws
23%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Niva Dolbizno have won more games recently than Ostrovets.
  • Win probability leans Niva Dolbizno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Niva Dolbizno have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 16%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno Ostrovets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.66 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Niva Dolbizno
1:2
Jun 1, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Ostrovets
1:0
Jul 7, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Niva Dolbizno
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondarenko V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ostrovets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 84 / 100
Ostrovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niva Dolbizno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Niva Dolbizno scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ostrovets conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Niva Dolbizno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS Ostrovets
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Niva Dolbizno

(Home)
10 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 2
FC Gomel 2
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Ostrovets

(Away)
10 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 2
FC Slonim
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Uni X Labs
1 : 1
Ostrovets
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
4 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
10 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
11 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
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