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Niva Dolbizno vs SKA-1938 Minsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga City Stadium, Dolbizno
Niva Dolbizno Logo

Niva Dolbizno

2 - 1
FT
SKA-1938 Minsk Logo

SKA-1938 Minsk

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Knyshev N.
37' Event
Slivin A.
Assist: Parmonov K.
42'
Kuratnik A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Niva Dolbizno in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niva Dolbizno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Niva Dolbizno
15%
Draws
46%
SKA-1938 Minsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Niva Dolbizno have won more games recently than SKA-1938 Minsk.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Niva Dolbizno have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 20%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno SKA-1938 Minsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.66 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs SKA-1938 Minsk
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Niva Dolbizno
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs SKA-1938 Minsk
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Niva Dolbizno
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedortsov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galuza D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Slivin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 32 / 100
SKA-1938 Minsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno SKA-1938 Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niva Dolbizno scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

SKA-1938 Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Niva Dolbizno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS SKA-1938 Minsk
3 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Niva Dolbizno

(Home)
10 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 2
FC Gomel 2
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Away)
10 Oct
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Molodechno
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 FK Lida 28 18 3 7 52:43 57
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Smorgon 28 10 6 12 35:36 36
10 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
11 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
12 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
13 FC Minsk 2 28 9 3 16 37:52 30
14 Orsha 28 7 6 15 28:52 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
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