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NK GOSK Gabela vs Siroki Brijeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: NK GOSK Gabela at 1.63 goals for, 0.94 against; Siroki Brijeg at 1.07 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Siroki Brijeg slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.94) back NK GOSK Gabela to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
NK GOSK Gabela
35%
Draws
46%
Siroki Brijeg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siroki Brijeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NK GOSK Gabela come out ahead of Siroki Brijeg on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on NK GOSK Gabela taking it.
  • NK GOSK Gabela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Siroki Brijeg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
NK GOSK Gabela Clean Sheet 20%
Siroki Brijeg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK GOSK Gabela Siroki Brijeg
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Siroki Brijeg vs NK GOSK Gabela
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
NK GOSK Gabela vs Siroki Brijeg
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Siroki Brijeg vs NK GOSK Gabela
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 WWIN Liga BiH
Siroki Brijeg vs NK GOSK Gabela
2:2
Apr 8, 2024 WWIN Liga BiH
Siroki Brijeg vs NK GOSK Gabela
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK GOSK Gabela 36 / 100
Siroki Brijeg 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK GOSK Gabela Siroki Brijeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NK GOSK Gabela scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Siroki Brijeg has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: NK GOSK Gabela remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NK GOSK Gabela VS Siroki Brijeg
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NK GOSK Gabela

(Home)
18 Oct
Stupcanica
1 : 1
NK GOSK Gabela
11 Oct
NK GOSK Gabela
1 : 2
Jedinstvo Bihac
03 Oct
Travnik
2 : 2
NK GOSK Gabela
27 Sept
NK GOSK Gabela
0 : 2
Sloboda Tuzla
20 Sept
Posusje
1 : 0
NK GOSK Gabela
Page 1 of 7

Siroki Brijeg

(Away)
16 Oct
FK Sloga Meridian
0 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
09 Oct
Velez Mostar
0 : 0
Siroki Brijeg
20 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
2 : 3
Borac Banja Luka
12 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Romanija Pale -
FK Sloga Meridian -
Zvijezda 09 -
Radnik Bijeljina -
Igman Konjic -
BSK Banja Luka -
Tomislav -
FK Sarajevo -
Proleter Dvorovi -
Celik Zenica -
Gradacac -
Velez Mostar -
NK GOSK Gabela -
Siroki Brijeg -
Laktasi -
Zrinjski -
Cazin -
Borac Banja Luka -
Sloboda Tuzla -
Zeljeznicar -
Posusje -
NK Vitez -
Famos Vojkovici -
Leotar -
Slavija -
Capljina -
Visoko -
Majevica -
TOSK Tesanj -
Rudar Prijedor -
Brotnjo Citluk -
Travnik -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -