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NK Koprivnica vs Slaven Belupo

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Koprivnica play Slaven Belupo in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, NK Koprivnica averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Slaven Belupo averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, NK Koprivnica won 0, Slaven Belupo won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 17, 2023 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for NK Koprivnica and 1.11 for Slaven Belupo. This points to a Slaven Belupo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
NK Koprivnica
19%
Draws
47%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • NK Koprivnica picked up more points recently compared to Slaven Belupo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
NK Koprivnica Clean Sheet 21%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Koprivnica Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 Club Friendly
NK Koprivnica vs Slaven Belupo
0:5
Oct 30, 2012 Croatian Cup
Slaven Belupo vs NK Koprivnica
2:0
Sep 20, 2006 Croatian Cup
NK Koprivnica vs Slaven Belupo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Koprivnica Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Slaven Belupo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cascini B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kamberi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Koprivnica 35 / 100
Slaven Belupo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Koprivnica Slaven Belupo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slaven Belupo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NK Koprivnica attacking → ← attacking Slaven Belupo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Koprivnica scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Slaven Belupo let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

NK Koprivnica went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Slaven Belupo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63