Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Krka vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Portoval, Novo Mesto
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Krznaric J.
17' Event
Dakic K.
30' Event
Cejvanovic D.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between NK Krka and Jesenice finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Krka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
NK Krka
15%
Draws
53%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jesenice haven't matched NK Krka's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jesenice a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors NK Krka here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 16%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Krka Jesenice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Jesenice
2:0
May 15, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Jesenice
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs NK Krka
0:3
Jun 2, 2012 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs NK Krka
1:5
Nov 5, 2011 3. SNL - West
NK Krka vs Jesenice
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Krznaric J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lipec A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Dakic K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cejvanovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Krka 23 / 100
Jesenice 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Krka Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jesenice let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

NK Krka scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: NK Krka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NK Krka VS Jesenice
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Krka

(Home)
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
28 Aug
Primorje
3 : 2
NK Krka
21 Aug
NK Krka
2 : 3
Slovan Ljubljana
14 Aug
Rudar
3 : 0
NK Krka
Page 1 of 6

Jesenice

(Away)
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
29 Aug
Jesenice
3 : 1
Beltinci
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
14 Aug
Jesenice
1 : 1
Krsko Posavje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)