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NK Krka vs Litija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2022/2023 Portoval, Novo Mesto
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kovacic T.
28' Event
Medle G.
37' Event
Kovacic T.

AI Match Summary

NK Krka in this Slovenian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 8-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
NK Krka
20%
Draws
52%
Litija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Litija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Krka have won more games recently than Litija.
  • Model gives Litija a 52% chance of winning this.
  • NK Krka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NK Krka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 14%
Litija Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Krka Litija
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2022 Slovenian Cup
NK Krka vs Litija
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacic T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Medle G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Litija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Krka 10 / 100
Litija 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Krka Litija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Litija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

NK Krka scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Litija has conceded goals in 50% of their last 10 outings.

NK Krka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Krka VS Litija
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Krka

(Home)
03 Oct
Tabor Sezana
2 : 1
NK Krka
27 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 0
NK Krka
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 6

Litija

(Away)
04 Oct
Fama Vipava
0 : 4
Litija
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
NK Polana 0
Nafta 2
Ziri 0
Triglav 2
O. Ljubljana 5
Ivancna Gorica 0
Ljutomer 1
Beltinci 0
Celje 5
Dravinja 0
NK Gancani 1
Mura 2
Podvinci 0
SD Videm 2
NK Arne Tabor '69 0
Dob 3
Idrija 1
Fama Vipava 0
Aluminij 11
SD Bukovci 0
Fuzinar 4
Jurovski Dol 1
Cven 2
Verzej 0
Izola 0
Koper 2
Cirkulane 2
Polskava 0
Panonija Gaberje 1
Hotiza 4
Domzale 3
Ilirija 1
Tabor Sezana 9
Komen 1
Acroni Jesenice 1
Sencur 2
Rogaska 4
Sampion Celje 2
Turnisce -
Odranci -
Slatina 7
Rakican 0
Bistrica 13
Oplotnica 0
Radomlje 0
Bravo 2
Visoko 2
Britof 3
Rudar 10
NK Brezice 0
Dobrovce 4
Korotan Prevalje 3
Maribor 9
Limbus-Pekre 0
NK Krka 8
Litija 0
Primorje 3
Tolmin 1
NK Ljubljana 1
Zagorje 2
Zavrc -
Apace -
NK Carda Martjanci 2
NK Serdica 3
1/16-finals
Nafta 2
Triglav 1
O. Ljubljana 4
Ljutomer 1
Celje 2
Mura 1
SD Videm 3
Dob 2
Idrija 1
Aluminij 5
Fuzinar 4
Cven 1
Koper 6
Cirkulane 0
Hotiza 0
Domzale 7
Tabor Sezana 2
Sencur 1
Rogaska 7
Odranci 0
Slatina 0
Bistrica 3
Bravo 9
Britof 0
Rudar 4
Dobrovce 1
Maribor 3
NK Krka 1
Primorje 8
Zagorje 0
Zavrc 2
NK Serdica 0
1/8-finals
Nafta 1
O. Ljubljana 3
Celje 3
SD Videm 0
Aluminij 4
Fuzinar 2
Koper 2
Domzale 0
Tabor Sezana 0
Rogaska 1
Bistrica 1
Bravo 0
Rudar 0
Maribor 4
Primorje 6
Zavrc 1
Quarter-finals
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Aluminij 1
Koper 0
Rogaska 0
Bistrica 2
Maribor 3
Primorje 1
Semi-finals
O. Ljubljana 2
Aluminij 1
Bistrica 1
Maribor 3
Final
O. Ljubljana 2
Maribor 1