Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Libertas Novska vs Medjimurec

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ivicic T.

AI Match Summary

NK Libertas Novska in this Croatian Cup 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Libertas Novska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NK Libertas Novska
6%
Draws
90%
Medjimurec
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Medjimurec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Libertas Novska have won more games recently than Medjimurec.
  • Medjimurec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
NK Libertas Novska Clean Sheet 10%
Medjimurec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Libertas Novska Medjimurec
Matches Played 10 4
Wins 5 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2023 Croatian Cup
NK Libertas Novska vs Medjimurec
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Libertas Novska Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivicic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Medjimurec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Libertas Novska 10 / 100
Medjimurec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Libertas Novska Medjimurec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NK Libertas Novska scored in 80% of their last 10 outings.

Medjimurec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

Away concern: Medjimurec has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

NK Libertas Novska VS Medjimurec
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vukovar 19914
Granicar Kotoriba0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
Dugo Selo3
NK Pitomaca2
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Vardarac Vardaroc1
Karlovac2
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Gospic2
Kutjevo4
TBD-
Osijek-
Granicar Zupanja0
Croatia Zmijavci3
TBD-
Rudes-
Jalzabet1
Moslavina3
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Cibalia-
TBD-
TBD-
NK Zagreb-
NK Libertas Novska1
Medjimurec0
TBD-
Rijeka-
NK Tomislav Drnje1
Jadran Luka Ploce4
Belisce3
Novi Marof0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba2
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Papuk Orahovica1
Grobnican29
TBD-
Varazdin-
Rudar Labin2
Zagora3
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Jadran Porec2
Mladost Zdralovi1
TBD-
Oriolik-
Bilogora0
Ponikve2
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Zagorec Krapina1
Omladinac Staro Topolje0
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Primorac Biograd0
Radnik Krizevci2
TBD-
Sibenik-
1/16-finals
Vukovar 19914
Bijelo Brdo1
Dugo Selo0
Lok. Zagreb1
Karlovac2
Jaska Vinogradar1
Kutjevo1
Osijek4
Croatia Zmijavci0
Rudes1
Moslavina2
Slaven Belupo4
Cibalia6
NK Zagreb0
NK Libertas Novska0
Rijeka9
Jadran Luka Ploce2
Belisce1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba0
Hajduk Split6
Grobnican0
Varazdin1
Zagora0
Istra 19612
Jadran Porec0
Oriolik1
Ponikve1
Din. Zagreb4
Zagorec Krapina0
HNK Gorica2
Radnik Krizevci4
Sibenik3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 19911
Lok. Zagreb2
Karlovac0
Osijek1
Rudes3
Slaven Belupo1
Cibalia1
Rijeka3
Jadran Luka Ploce0
Hajduk Split2
Varazdin3
Istra 19612
Oriolik0
Din. Zagreb8
HNK Gorica4
Radnik Krizevci0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb1
Osijek0
Rudes0
Rijeka1
Hajduk Split5
Varazdin0
Din. Zagreb4
HNK Gorica0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb0
Rijeka1
Hajduk Split0
Din. Zagreb1
Final
Rijeka1
Din. Zagreb3