Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Libertas Novska vs Otocac

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Libertas Novska play Otocac in the Croatian Cup 2016/2017. Otocac are favorites here. Recently, NK Libertas Novska averaged 1.75 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Otocac averaged 1 goals scored and 4 conceded. In past meetings, NK Libertas Novska won 1, Otocac won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2016 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for NK Libertas Novska and 2.25 for Otocac. This points to a Otocac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
NK Libertas Novska
6%
Draws
90%
Otocac
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Otocac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Libertas Novska has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Otocac.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Otocac.
  • Cup tournament structure in Croatian Cup 2016/2017 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
NK Libertas Novska Clean Sheet 10%
Otocac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Libertas Novska Otocac
Matches Played 10 1
Wins 5 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 3.5 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2016 Croatian Cup
NK Libertas Novska vs Otocac
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Libertas Novska 10 / 100
Otocac 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Libertas Novska Otocac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Libertas Novska scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Otocac let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

NK Libertas Novska went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Otocac lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Libertas Novska VS Otocac
1.75 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zapresic-
TBD-
HNK Gorica1
Bijelo Brdo2
Samobor3
Medjimurec0
TBD-
Cibalia-
Bjelovar1
Marsonia0
TBD-
NK Zagreb-
Veli Vrh2
Zagorec Krapina0
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
RNK Split-
TBD-
NK Pitomaca2
Slavija Pleternica4
Neretvanac4
Suhopolje0
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Solin4
Zagora1
TBD-
Zadar-
Jalzabet3
Primorac Biograd2
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Lok. Zagreb-
TBD-
Podravac Virje0
Krk5
NK Libertas Novska4
Otocac1
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Rudes3
Oriolik1
TBD-
GOSK Dubrovnik-
Croatia Dakovo1
NK Koprivnica0
TBD-
Rijeka-
Osijek-
TBD-
NK Lekenik0
Vukovar 19914
Medjimurje7
Karlovac0
TBD-
Sibenik-
Novigrad3
Kustosija1
TBD-
NK Zelina-
Varazdin3
Slavonija Soljani2
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
1/16-finals
Zapresic3
Bijelo Brdo2
Samobor1
Cibalia6
Bjelovar4
NK Zagreb0
Veli Vrh0
Din. Zagreb5
RNK Split2
Slavija Pleternica1
Neretvanac1
Istra 19613
Solin1
Zadar0
Jalzabet0
Hajduk Split6
Lok. Zagreb2
Krk1
NK Libertas Novska2
Jaska Vinogradar5
Rudes3
GOSK Dubrovnik0
Croatia Dakovo0
Rijeka3
Osijek4
Vukovar 19911
Medjimurje1
Sibenik2
Novigrad4
NK Zelina0
Varazdin2
Slaven Belupo3
1/8-finals
Zapresic1
Cibalia0
Bjelovar1
Din. Zagreb2
RNK Split3
Istra 19611
Solin1
Hajduk Split2
Lok. Zagreb2
Jaska Vinogradar1
Rudes3
Rijeka5
Osijek2
Sibenik1
Novigrad0
Slaven Belupo1
Quarter-finals
Zapresic0
Din. Zagreb1
RNK Split2
Hajduk Split1
Lok. Zagreb1
Rijeka3
Osijek1
Slaven Belupo0
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb6
RNK Split0
Rijeka5
Osijek1
Final
Din. Zagreb1
Rijeka3