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NK Ormoz vs Sampion Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Ormoz host Sampion Celje in the 3. SNL - East. NK Ormoz are expected to control this from the start. NK Ormoz have averaged 2.33 scored and 3.11 conceded recently, against Sampion Celje's 1.07 scored and 2.52 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward NK Ormoz. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
NK Ormoz
15%
Draws
26%
Sampion Celje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Ormoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Ormoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives NK Ormoz a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NK Ormoz Clean Sheet 15%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Ormoz Sampion Celje
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 2.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 3.11 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Ormoz 84 / 100
Sampion Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Ormoz Sampion Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Ormoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampion Celje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

NK Ormoz's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

NK Ormoz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sampion Celje's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

NK Ormoz VS Sampion Celje
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Ormoz

(Home)
03 Oct
NK Ormoz
4 : 3
Dobrovce
26 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
NK Ormoz
19 Sept
NK Ormoz
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
NK Ormoz
0 : 2
Podvinci
Page 1 of 2

Sampion Celje

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Videm
1 : 0
Sampion Celje
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 8 6 2 0 24:11 20
2 NK Smartno 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
3 Fuzinar 8 5 1 2 27:20 16
4 NK Ormoz 8 5 1 2 21:14 16
5 Podvinci 9 4 2 3 15:17 14
6 Hajdina 9 3 4 2 16:15 13
7 NK Carda Martjanci 8 3 3 2 20:15 12
8 Korotan Prevalje 8 2 5 1 13:11 11
9 SD Videm 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
10 Race 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
11 Ljutomer 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
12 Dobrovce 8 2 0 6 11:23 6
13 Sampion Celje 8 1 1 6 11:19 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
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