Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Polet vs Medjimurje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Polet play Medjimurje in the 3. HNL North. NK Polet are favorites here. Recently, NK Polet averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Medjimurje averaged 1.02 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, NK Polet won 2, Medjimurje won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2022 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for NK Polet and 1.06 for Medjimurje. This points to a NK Polet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
NK Polet
15%
Draws
24%
Medjimurje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Polet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Polet picked up more points recently compared to Medjimurje.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
NK Polet Clean Sheet 22%
Medjimurje Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Polet Medjimurje
Matches Played 34 43
Wins 22 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 29
Goals Scored 2.38 1.02
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL North
Medjimurje vs NK Polet
0:4
Apr 2, 2022 3. HNL North
NK Polet vs Medjimurje
5:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL North
Medjimurje vs NK Polet
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Polet 59 / 100
Medjimurje 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Polet Medjimurje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Polet Win (1)
Secondary Pick NK Polet & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NK Polet attacking → ← attacking Medjimurje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Polet scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Medjimurje let in goals in 86% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

NK Polet went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Medjimurje lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 38
1.33 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616