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NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Vitez host TOSK Tesanj in the Prva Liga - FBiH. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: NK Vitez at 0.78 goals for, 1.41 against; TOSK Tesanj at 1.17 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor TOSK Tesanj slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.38, favoring TOSK Tesanj. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
NK Vitez
20%
Draws
52%
TOSK Tesanj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TOSK Tesanj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Vitez haven't matched TOSK Tesanj's recent run of results.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TOSK Tesanj have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
NK Vitez Clean Sheet 17%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Vitez TOSK Tesanj
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.78 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs NK Vitez
2:0
Oct 6, 2018 Prva Liga - FBiH
NK Vitez vs TOSK Tesanj
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Vitez 31 / 100
TOSK Tesanj 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Vitez TOSK Tesanj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOSK Tesanj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TOSK Tesanj conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

NK Vitez's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

NK Vitez has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NK Vitez VS TOSK Tesanj
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Vitez

(Home)
17 Oct
NK Vitez
2 : 1
Tomislav
10 Oct
NK Vitez
1 : 2
Posusje
03 Oct
Kakanj
2 : 0
NK Vitez
26 Sept
NK Vitez
1 : 0
Capljina
19 Sept
Igman Konjic
1 : 0
NK Vitez
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TOSK Tesanj

(Away)
17 Oct
Capljina
1 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
11 Oct
TOSK Tesanj
1 : 1
Igman Konjic
03 Oct
Bratstvo Gracanica
1 : 3
TOSK Tesanj
27 Sept
TOSK Tesanj
2 : 0
Stupcanica
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Bihac
0 : 1
TOSK Tesanj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Posusje 10 8 2 0 15:4 26
2 Travnik 10 7 1 2 16:8 22
3 Stupcanica 10 6 2 2 23:9 20
4 Igman Konjic 10 5 4 1 13:8 19
5 Sloboda Tuzla 10 5 3 2 17:8 18
6 NK GOSK Gabela 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
7 TOSK Tesanj 10 4 2 4 12:12 14
8 Jedinstvo Bihac 10 3 4 3 17:12 13
9 Bratstvo Gracanica 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
10 Banovici 10 2 4 4 11:19 10
11 NK Vitez 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
12 Gradacac 10 2 2 6 7:9 8
13 Kakanj 10 2 2 6 6:14 8
14 Capljina 10 2 2 6 10:20 8
15 Tomislav 10 2 2 6 12:25 8
16 Hadzici 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
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