Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Vrsar vs Tomislav DA

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with NK Vrsar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
NK Vrsar
25%
Draws
35%
Tomislav DA
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: NK Vrsar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomislav DA come out ahead of NK Vrsar on wins alone.
  • NK Vrsar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tomislav DA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor NK Vrsar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55.4%
NK Vrsar Clean Sheet 14%
Tomislav DA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Vrsar Tomislav DA
Matches Played 2 6
Wins 1 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 2.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2012 Croatian Cup
NK Vrsar vs Tomislav DA
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Vrsar 84 / 100
Tomislav DA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Vrsar Tomislav DA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Vrsar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Tomislav DA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 6 matches.

Tomislav DA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: NK Vrsar scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Scoring Trends

NK Vrsar VS Tomislav DA
2.5 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Vrsar

(Home)
25 Sept
NK Vrsar
0 : 3
Din. Zagreb
28 Aug
NK Vrsar
5 : 0
Tomislav DA

Tomislav DA

(Away)
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
26 Aug
Tomislav DA
4 : 0
Uljanik Pula
10 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Istra 1961
28 Aug
Tomislav DA
5 : 0
Sloga Borovo
28 Aug
NK Vrsar
5 : 0
Tomislav DA
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Cibalia -
TBD -
Bjelovar 1
Vinodol 2
Zapresic -
TBD -
Sloboda Slakovec 0
HNK Gorica 4
Istra 1961 -
TBD -
Ravnice 1
Visnjevac 2
NK Novalja 3
Zagorec Krapina 1
TBD -
Osijek -
GOSK Dubrovnik 3
Jedinstvo Omladinac 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Rijeka -
TBD -
Krka Lozovac 0
NK Nedelisce 3
NK Libertas Novska 2
Mladost Zdralovi 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Segesta -
TBD -
Slavija Pleternica 0
Lok. Zagreb 7
Slaven Belupo -
TBD -
Oriolik 2
Ivancica 3
NK Pomorac -
TBD -
Vuteks Sloga 0
NK Koprivnica 1
Din. Zagreb -
TBD -
Tomislav DA 0
NK Vrsar 5
Konavljanin -
TBD -
Belisce 1
Zadar 5
NK Zelina 9
Mladost Mali Otok 0
TBD -
Karlovac -
Zrinski Tordinci 2
Repusnica 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
RNK Split 4
Virovitica 1
TBD -
Zagora -
Slunj 2
Zadrugar Hrastovsko 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Cibalia 2
Vinodol 0
Zapresic 0
HNK Gorica 3
Istra 1961 2
Visnjevac 1
NK Novalja 0
Osijek 1
GOSK Dubrovnik 2
Sibenik 1
Rijeka 0
NK Nedelisce 1
NK Libertas Novska 3
Varazdin 0
Segesta 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
Slaven Belupo 2
Ivancica 1
NK Pomorac 1
NK Koprivnica 2
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Vrsar 0
Konavljanin 0
Zadar 2
NK Zelina 3
Karlovac 0
Zrinski Tordinci 0
NK Zagreb 4
RNK Split 5
Zagora 1
Slunj 0
Hajduk Split 4
1/8-finals
Cibalia 1
HNK Gorica 0
Istra 1961 2
Osijek 3
GOSK Dubrovnik 2
NK Nedelisce 0
NK Libertas Novska 2
Lok. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
NK Koprivnica 0
Din. Zagreb 2
Zadar 3
NK Zelina 2
NK Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Cibalia 4
Osijek 2
GOSK Dubrovnik 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 3
Zadar 2
NK Zelina 1
Hajduk Split 3
Semi-finals
Cibalia 1
Lok. Zagreb 4
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 3
Final
Lok. Zagreb 4
Hajduk Split 5