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NK Zagreb vs Hajduk Split Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2020/2021 Stadion u Kranjčevićevoj ulici, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Cavala T.
17'
Strunje K.
34'
Medic L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Hajduk Split advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
NK Zagreb
15%
Draws
68%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hajduk Split come out ahead of NK Zagreb on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Hajduk Split taking it.
  • Hajduk Split arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hajduk Split, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hajduk Split have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
NK Zagreb Clean Sheet 18%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Zagreb Hajduk Split
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 3 24
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.55 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.31 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2021 Croatian Cup
NK Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
0:3
May 14, 2016 HNL
NK Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
2:3
Mar 13, 2016 HNL
Hajduk Split vs NK Zagreb
1:0
Dec 2, 2015 Croatian Cup
NK Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
1:2
Nov 28, 2015 HNL
NK Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Zagreb Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Hajduk Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Jairo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Livaja M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Zagreb 10 / 100
Hajduk Split 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Zagreb Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hajduk Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

NK Zagreb found the back of the net in 34% of recent matches (29 games).

Hajduk Split's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Solid form: NK Zagreb remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hajduk Split
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Zagreb

(Home)
26 Sept
Cibalia
6 : 0
NK Zagreb
22 Sept
NK Zagreb
0 : 1
Oriolik
02 Mar
NK Zagreb
0 : 3
Hajduk Split
07 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
25 Sept
HNK Gorica
8 : 0
NK Zagreb
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Hajduk Split

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
08 Sept
Vardarac Vardaroc
0 : 2
Hajduk Split
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Novigrad -
TBD -
TBD -
Rudes -
Ferdinandovac 3
Ivancica 1
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
GOSK Dubrovnik 4
Bijelo Brdo 2
TBD -
Zadar -
Rudar Mursko Sredisce 3
NK Koprivnica 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Sesvete 3
HNK Gorica 1
Belisce 0
Gaj Mace 20
Korenica 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Mladost Petrinja 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Granicar Zupanja 1
Slavonija Pozega 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Oriolik 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
RNK Split -
Rudar Labin 2
Primorac Biograd 0
TBD -
Zapresic -
Segesta 3
Croatia Zmijavci 4
TBD -
Sibenik -
Mladost Tribunj 0
NK Polet 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Kurilovec 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Pazinka 0
Crikvenica 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Bjelovar 0
Varazdin 5
TBD -
Cibalia -
Dilj 1
Virovitica 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
1/16-finals
Novigrad 1
Rudes 3
Ferdinandovac 1
Din. Zagreb 7
GOSK Dubrovnik 3
Zadar 0
Rudar Mursko Sredisce 0
Slaven Belupo 9
Sesvete 3
HNK Gorica 4
Gaj Mace 2
Lok. Zagreb 3
Mladost Zdralovi 0
NK Zagreb 1
Granicar Zupanja 1
Hajduk Split 2
Oriolik 1
RNK Split 0
Rudar Labin 2
Zapresic 0
Croatia Zmijavci 0
Sibenik 2
NK Polet 0
Istra 1961 2
Kurilovec 6
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Crikvenica 1
Osijek 5
Varazdin 2
Cibalia 0
Dilj 0
Rijeka 6
1/8-finals
Rudes 0
Din. Zagreb 2
GOSK Dubrovnik 1
Slaven Belupo 4
HNK Gorica 3
Lok. Zagreb 1
NK Zagreb 0
Hajduk Split 3
Oriolik 1
Rudar Labin 0
Sibenik 0
Istra 1961 2
Kurilovec 0
Osijek 4
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Quarter-finals
Din. Zagreb 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Hajduk Split 0
Oriolik 0
Istra 1961 3
Osijek 1
Rijeka 2
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb 4
HNK Gorica 1
Istra 1961 3
Rijeka 2
Final
Din. Zagreb 6
Istra 1961 3