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NK Zagreb vs HNK Gorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2016/2017 Stadion u Kranjčevićevoj ulici, Zagreb
NK Zagreb Logo

NK Zagreb

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HNK Gorica Logo

HNK Gorica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. HNL 2016/2017 game between NK Zagreb and HNK Gorica finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HNK Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
NK Zagreb
30%
Draws
52%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • HNK Gorica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on HNK Gorica taking it.
  • Regular 2. HNL 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • HNK Gorica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
NK Zagreb Clean Sheet 19%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Zagreb HNK Gorica
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.55 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2019 Croatian Cup
HNK Gorica vs NK Zagreb
8:0
Apr 8, 2017 Prva NL
NK Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
0:2
Nov 26, 2016 Prva NL
NK Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
2:5
Sep 16, 2016 Prva NL
HNK Gorica vs NK Zagreb
2:1
Apr 22, 2014 Prva NL
NK Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Zagreb 10 / 100
HNK Gorica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Zagreb HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

HNK Gorica has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

NK Zagreb scored in 34% of their last 29 games.

NK Zagreb went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS HNK Gorica
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Zagreb

(Home)
26 Sept
Cibalia
6 : 0
NK Zagreb
22 Sept
NK Zagreb
0 : 1
Oriolik
02 Mar
NK Zagreb
0 : 3
Hajduk Split
07 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
25 Sept
HNK Gorica
8 : 0
NK Zagreb
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HNK Gorica

(Away)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 17 9 7 43:28 60
2 HNK Gorica 33 15 12 6 53:31 57
3 Solin 33 16 7 10 40:36 55
4 Sesvete 33 15 7 11 53:36 52
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 33 12 11 10 39:32 47
6 Dugopolje 33 12 10 11 36:32 46
7 Sibenik 33 12 9 12 32:33 45
8 Novigrad 33 11 9 13 28:35 42
9 Lucko 33 9 11 13 34:48 38
10 Dragovoljac 33 9 9 15 30:39 36
11 Imotski 33 8 7 18 36:58 31
12 NK Zagreb 33 6 11 16 34:50 29
Promotion - 1. HNL 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - 2. HNL 2016/2017 (Promotion)