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Nkana vs Kabwe

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nkana and Kabwe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kabwe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nkana
35%
Draws
32%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kabwe come out ahead of Nkana on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Kabwe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Kabwe
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Kabwe vs Nkana
1:0
May 17, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs Kabwe
2:0
Dec 18, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Nkana
1:1
May 25, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Nkana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 41 / 100
Kabwe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NKA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nkana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nkana scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kabwe conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS Kabwe
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkana

(Home)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
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Kabwe

(Away)
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Kabwe
1 : 0
NAPSA Stars
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